Do Texas Early Vote Totals Belie Low Republican Enthusiasm Meme?
One of the popular themes in the Austin local media last week was the high early vote turnout in Travis County, the academic, uberliberal county of Texas. Thunders Saturday’s Austin American Statesman:
“Almost half of Travis County’s 609,224 registered voters had cast their ballots by the time early voting ended Friday, easily shattering previous records. “
So how are the early votes breaking?
“When a list of general-election voters is released, political analysts, such as [Leland] Beatty, match the names to the roster of Democratic and Republican primary voters, thereby predicting how many votes will fall to one party or the other.
In Travis County, Democratic primary voters outnumbered Republicans nearly 4-to-1 in early voting as of Wednesday, when the most recent statistics were available, Beatty said….
“We’ve never seen anything like this election,” Beatty said, adding that he thinks Democrats will make gains throughout the state. ”
Combine this story with a recent hilarious AP
But what do the statewide early vote turnout numbers really show?
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The Puppet Masters are using their media lap dogs to create an impression re: the election. Ignore them!
It’s a good analogy. I know that I voted for Hillary in the primary in order to keep the dems fighting each other.
Speaking of lap dogs, anyone still undecided can’t go wrong by taking the Hearst Chronicle endosements from yesterday’s editorial page….and vote just the opposite. I’ve pretty much done that for years and don’t think I’ve gone wrong yet.
Maybe a couple of exceptions, but by and large I use them as my “voting guide”. They say “yes” I say “no”! Works for me.’
In the quotations noted in the original posting, citing that Democrats were over Republicans by 4-to-1, the question left begging is the usual percentage in Travis County. That county typically votes Liberal in the majority, but what is the average percentage? My point is that, for example, 4–1 is significant only if the usual ratio is 2.5–1; everything else is marginally irrelevant.
– Ken
I got confirmation that my particular precinct had a greater percentage of “identified Republicans” voting early than “identified Democrats.” I guess they look at primary history. My primary night figures were skewed this year, but our precinct isn’t a huge Republican stronghold.
Okay so now you need to produce solid “operation chaos” numbers. And considering there were no riots in Denver, I think it is safe the say operation chaos was a failure.
There were no riots in Denver because the Dimwit Party leaders got behind closed door with the leaders that were planning on it, and told them straight up that if they DO riot and cause trouble, it would only hurt the Dim Party.
Because everyone already KNOWS those wacko’s aren’t Republican, so why would Dimwits cause riots at the OWN Convention. It backfired last time they did it.
#6
Not looking for chaos….just some surprises. Until the Fat Lady sings, it ain’t over.
Keep hearing how many people are still undecided this last day before the election. So what is it that these people don’t understand? Either they are playing with the minds of the pollsters or they have no business voting.
whitetop;
Our only hope is that the majority of these people are either playing games with the pollsters or that they “wake-up” before casting their votes. Worst fear is that they don’t vote at all…which wouldn’t really surprise me….just disappoint me.
I was shocked to hear an acquaintance say she would really rather vote for McCain, but she doesn’t trust Palin. It bothered me for a second, as she was just mouthing Dem talking points, none of which had any validity. I explained Palin has more experience than BHO, and fought corruption to boot, even got the “heartbeat away from the Presidency” comment from her, which I countered with “Joe Biden”. Alaskans from both sides love her, and she has run the State with skill and verve.
“But she’s a woman.” This from an educated, modern female that is quite aware of her own power.
That’s when it hit me: women don’t like or trust each other. For the most part, that is.
Maybe my little talk made some sense to her. Maybe not. But there may be more of HELLary’s legacy smoldering around than expected. No one likes a b!tch, especially another woman, hehehe! I really think that instead of judging her on her own merits, they see a composite Boxer/Pelosi/Clinton.
Hell, that thought scares me.
You know Slash, I’ve had that phenomenon also. A good friend of mine, very accomplished (lawyer), good head on her shoulders and very smart.
She doesn’t like Sarah Palin. And not just doesn’t like - Can’t Stand Gov. Palin. And the ONLY thing she can spout is the MSM/Dim’s talking points. And having “that many” kids…while working… WTF????
So what do you women here think (although I think this might be a mostly one sided responses)?
#10 wfish
I heard a report on the radio where they were interviewing a Rasmussen dude. Basically, he said the exit polling was conducted more for determining why people voted the way they did rather than for internet junkies who can’t wait a few hours.
He also said that in 5 out of the 6 main battleground states last time that Dems were much more willing to talk to pollsters than Reps. I think he said that about 60-70% of Dems were willing to talk to pollsters, while less than 40% of Reps and Inds would.
IIRC, this also holds fairly true for pre-election polling.
I like Palin and would vote for her to run this country. She is an exception, I think. Women are their own worst enemies. I don’ t think they do well in groups! hehe. Example: My neighbor, who is a dear and would do anything for anyone, goes on a ” girls cruise” She and about 5 other friends. They decide to play cards. She doesn’t understand the game and they start ridiculing her. They became mean, almost like bullies. When she got home from the cruise, one of her friends had left her vehicle at my neighbors home. This friend for 30 years starts attacking my neighbor. Pointing a finger at her chest, she is unloading about how my neighbor has never had any pain in her life ( so not true) how my neighbors marriage is good, and she is jealous of my neighbor and hates her own life, blah blah. And she’s yelling at my neighbor like it’s my neighbors fault. Craziness. But, that’s how women can get with each other. UGH. Hormones? Competition? I have no idea. Men are much more simple creatures. Give a group of women a few days together and you will have problems. The guys will just drink, tell jokes, pass gas, talk man talk, and scratch. Nothing complex. I’ve probably made all the female bloggers here angry, but that’s how I see it.
i think it is interesting, i guess people think mccain stans NO chance the payout on election bets is .11 for BO and 4.6 to 1 for mccain
but i am not giving up, i still cast my vote for the lesser of two liberals
#14 aw
We also belch. In harmony.
#14:
Don’t know what you did to/for the women bloggers, but have to admit you’ve got men down pat…..I know ‘cuz, I are one. If all women undersood us like you do, life would be so much simpler. And thanks for the insight into women, even though it’s a view into a world we (men) will never understand. Viva la differance.
thanks wfish. Two examples of powerful women are Hillary Clinton, and Nancy Pelosi. Another great example is Margaret Thatcher. Thatcher handled her power with discretion. Pelosi uses hers like an ax. Hillary, well Hillary has gender confusion
Sarah Palin is a man’s woman. She loves the outdoors, hunts, fishes, can hop a harley, and still put on an evening gown. I don’t think there are too many powerful women like her. Am I wrong?
american woman

If it takes insulting male steroeotyping
to get you to admit that the female stereotype is actually true,
I guess I’ll just have to put up with it.
Shannon, some things are just fact! hehe
Shannon, IF i offended you I apologize. I think all those things I mentioned about y’all are great! No pretensions, not complex. Just enjoy each others company.
AW, I voted Palin/McCain not McCain/Palin. I don’t know what I would have done if McCain hadn’t selected Palin as his running mate. I know I wouldn’t vote for the marxist and I didn’t want McCain. I just hope she can bring to bear some conservative values to the idiot from AZ.
I do find it offensive comparing Pelosi and Hellary to Margaret Thatcher. You have a bitch and a witch compared to a woman of accomplishment.
Whitetop I was just listing three women of power. Thatcher is female, that’s about the only comparison! I didn’t mean to offend you. I don’t remember much about Golda Meier except I thought she was wonderful. I don’ t know if Thatcher hunted etc. I really don’t know much about her except Ronald Reagan had great respect for her.
If Palin gets into the national spotlight I’m sure she will be compared to Thatcher by the time her career is over. AW I wasn’t really offended just couldn’t see a comparison of the witch and the bitch to Thatcher. I don’t remember that much about Golda Meier either. What I remember she would come closer to Thatcher than Pelosi or Hellary.
Hopefully by the end of the day tomorrow we will be looking at the future of Sarah Palin. I raised two daughters and understand the problems women have in the marketplace.
IMHO women who have a problem with Sarah Palin, aside from political views, are stuck in the high-school clique or university sorority mode of socialization. (Consider a comparison to The Borg hive mentality.) In other words, they are immature and can’t comprehend a girl/woman who has different aspirations and is a whole person rather than an appendage of a group. And in many cases they are disappointed in themselves regarding accomplishing their own goals and so take it out on a woman who knows what she wants and is confidently achieving it–an alpha woman if you will. True, many alpha women are hell on wheels and also insecure in maintaining their positions, but not all. Same can be said for lots of alpha males. Born leader vs. wanna be and never was.
To me, Sarah is a kindred spirit of Maggie Thatcher and Ronald Reagan. You go, girl.
AW, you are wise to the ways of the world. Most men are quite simple. But I like to say, “Simple gets sh!t done!” Not that we can’t read, ya know. But most guys actually would rather things be simple.
I had to laugh the other day, a group of buddies went camping and attempted to hunt, we all had a great time. I tried to imagine a group of women, camping on the beach, cooking, building blinds, dragging up firewood, just hanging out with each other. We pulled it off without a hitch, and we were all armed to the teeth.
Women might pull it off, but there had better not be any weapons handy, or someone’s ending up in a shallow grave in the sand, hehehe!
Adee brings up another good point. No disrespect, but “Alpha chick” seems to roll off the tongue better. I know a couple. They hear “Alpha chick” and grin. They will not tolerate a weak man, nor will they put up with very much “female” static. Sounds just like Sarah. You can have a real friendship with an alpha chick, almost like another guy, hehehe! If they are insecure, they’re a beta trying to pass. Same with a guy. An Alpha knows their stuff, and they know it. They’ll waste no effort trying to convince anyone. And you can put a room full of Alpha’s together, and have no problems at all. They will recognize each other’s abilities, and have a plan sketched out in a flash.
It’s the Betas, the wanna-be’s, that cause all the ruckus. Like Boxer, or Peloci, or even Hillary. I don’t think she’s a natural leader, not if an empty suit can knock her out of the saddle.
I am a woman.
I never have, and never will vote for a woman to be in any position where she would have authority over a man.
Genesis 3:16
I Timothy 2:11-15
etc.
McCain lost my support when he chose Palin as his running mate.
Boxie,
I understand your viewpoint and do not wish to argue. There are other viewpoints about this and I’m simply presenting this for thought, nothing more.
One of the first things that I stress to the men in my class is that they must understand the context of any text that we study, particularly the historical context. I think the writer of the IVP commentary above gets to the core of this passage when he talks about how radical it was that Paul advocated for women to be instructed, which I’ve placed emphasis on above, and that he wasn’t applying this teaching to all women at all times in all things.
Again, not to argue, just a different viewpoint. Take care.
#27 Boxie:
I’ve had a woman “having authority” over me all my life. First, my Mother and, for the past 46 years, my Wife. I am not weaker or less manly because of those influences, only stronger. McCain GOT my vote when he chose Sarah.